Namine
Explorer of Wonderland
Posts: 3,209
Threads: 158
Joined: Mar 2007
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Bee Wing values seem way off
So I did some mobbing in Geffen dungeon 3, which are all monsters from lv 40-49 except for Whisper. Monster level divided by 10, rounded down, gives 4.
According to the wiki, royal jelly has a variable of 160. Giving the benefit of the doubt that server rates do not apply to item generation, I got 6 royal jelly from killing 567 monsters (count of whisper is ignored for simplicity.)
The drop rate for royal jelly is ((160*4)+1)/100 = 6.41%, by the wiki's formula.
By binomial distribution, the chance of exactly 6 royal jelly at this drop rate over 567 monsters is 2.25*10^-8... It seems extremely unlikely that I am that unlucky.
So either my math is somehow wrong (in which case, please let me know what did I do wrong), or the wiki's formula is wrong somewhere... If the wiki's formula is wrong, we should probably fix the wiki.
Note: on the other hand, I got 36 honey... which is also wrong in the opposite direction: I got way too many. Did honey and royal jelly's value get switched around? The math actually works out then.
(This post was last modified: 04-10-2017, 12:39 AM by Namine.)
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04-10-2017, 12:34 AM |
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